Psychology Dictionary of ArgumentsHome
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| Conditional probability: probability of an event if another event is given. _____________Annotation: The above characterizations of concepts are neither definitions nor exhausting presentations of problems related to them. Instead, they are intended to give a short introduction to the contributions below. – Lexicon of Arguments. | |||
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Nancy Cartwright on Conditional Probability - Dictionary of Arguments
I 33 Conditional Probability/Cartwright: is the measure of efficiency. >Cause, >Effect, cf. >Bayesianism. I 34 Conditional Probability/Harper/Gibbard/Cartwright: can be deceiving. - E.g. it is indeed the case that the owners of the insurance policy live longer, but it would be a poor strategy, to buy one in order to get a longer life. Solution/Cartwright: counterfactual conditionals. >Causality, >Causal explanation. It's not about how many live longer, but the probability that a person lives longer if they buy one. - Problem: testing probability for counterfactual conditionals -> Kripke/((s) because we invent the possible worlds). >Counterfactual conditionals. Apparent conditional probability: is not a measure with linked causes. I 36 Conditional probability: elimination of causal laws. - Instead: association, common occurrence. >Association. I 42 Partial Conditional Probability/Cartwright: Important argument: it holds all and only the causal factors fixed. >Probability._____________Explanation of symbols: Roman numerals indicate the source, arabic numerals indicate the page number. The corresponding books are indicated on the right hand side. ((s)…): Comment by the sender of the contribution. Translations: Dictionary of Arguments The note [Concept/Author], [Author1]Vs[Author2] or [Author]Vs[term] resp. "problem:"/"solution:", "old:"/"new:" and "thesis:" is an addition from the Dictionary of Arguments. If a German edition is specified, the page numbers refer to this edition. |
Car I N. Cartwright How the laws of physics lie Oxford New York 1983 CartwrightR I R. Cartwright A Neglected Theory of Truth. Philosophical Essays, Cambridge/MA pp. 71-93 In Theories of Truth, Paul Horwich, Aldershot 1994 CartwrightR II R. Cartwright Ontology and the theory of meaning Chicago 1954 |
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> Counter arguments against Cartwright
> Counter arguments in relation to Conditional Probability
